As you can see, there isn’t a lot of movement (outside of the Forum poll of Aug. 2, which clearly appears to be an outlier at this point). There is a slight upward trend for the Liberals, something we talked about earlier this week.

If we use these numbers (for each province) and transpose them into seats, we get the following projections. You have, in order, the voting intentions, the seat projections with confidence intervals, as well as the chances of getting the most seats.



http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/08/15/election-prediction_n_7991300.html