Немного не так. Надо кресла в парламенте смотреть. 143 на 129 пока что, в пользу либералов.
И еще:
15% - Probability of the Liberals winning a majority
47% - Probability of the Liberals winning the most seats but not a majority
34% - Probability of the Conservatives winning the most seats but not a majority
3% - Probability of the Conservatives winning a majority